Head to Head Analysis – Round 3

1. Narrative Series Summary

The 2025–26 season series between the Cannex Cochrane Generals and the Medicine Hat Cubs swung sharply game-to-game: Cochrane earned three wins (including a shootout victory), while Medicine Hat controlled overall goal production and shot volume across the five meetings. Special teams were a major separator for the Cubs, who produced the higher series power‑play rate, highlighted by a three‑PP‑goal performance in the January 18 matchup. Cochrane’s strongest stretches came when they kept the game at even strength and got timely finishes—most notably the shootout win on January 10.

2. Series Overview

  • Series Record: Cochrane 3–2–0
  • Total Goals: Cochrane 12 — Medicine Hat 16
  • Total Shots: Cochrane 155 — Medicine Hat 168
  • Average Score: CCG 2.4 — MHC 3.2
  • Special Teams: CCG 3/31 (9.7%), MHC 6/23 (26.1%)
  • Goaltending: Cochrane SV% .905 — Medicine Hat SV% .929

3. Game‑by‑Game Results

Game Date Result Shots Power Play
21 Sept 26, 2025 Cochrane 5 — Medicine Hat 4 CCG 38 — MHC 38 CCG 2/9 — MHC 2/7
89 Nov 1, 2025 Cochrane 3 — Medicine Hat 0 CCG 27 — MHC 34 CCG 1/0 — MHC 0/0
94 Nov 7, 2025 Medicine Hat 5 — Cochrane 1 MHC 42 — CCG 29 MHC 1/6 — CCG 0/6
186 Jan 10, 2026 Cochrane 3 — Medicine Hat 2 (SO) CCG 38 — MHC 26 CCG 0/4 — MHC 0/2
198 Jan 18, 2026 Medicine Hat 5 — Cochrane 0 MHC 28 — CCG 23 MHC 3/8 — CCG 0/12

4. Statistical Summary

  • Total Goals: CCG 12 — MHC 16
  • Total Shots: CCG 155 — MHC 168
  • Average Shots/Game: CCG 31.0 — MHC 33.6
  • Goal Differential: +4 Medicine Hat
  • Shot Differential: +13 Medicine Hat
  • Special Teams Differential: +3 PP goals Medicine Hat

5. Special Teams Comparison

  • Cochrane Power Play: 3/31 (9.7%)
  • Medicine Hat Power Play: 6/23 (26.1%)
  • Cochrane Penalty Kill: 17/23 (73.9%)
  • Medicine Hat Penalty Kill: 28/31 (90.3%)

6. Goaltending Comparison

  • Cochrane Goalies: 168 shots, 152 saves — .905 SV%
  • Medicine Hat Goalies: 154 shots, 143 saves — .929 SV%
  • Trend: Medicine Hat posted the stronger aggregate save rate across the five games, while Cochrane’s best result came in the January 10 shootout win.

7. Discipline & Penalties

  • Most Physical Games: Game 21 and Game 198
  • Major/Misconduct Incidents: Multiple game misconducts and ejections occurred across the series, including major+GM sequences (notably in Game 21) and a game ejection (Game 198).
  • Impact: Penalty volume repeatedly swung momentum—especially in Game 198 where Medicine Hat converted three power‑play goals.

8. Charts

Goals Per Game

Game 21 — CCG 5 vs MHC 4
Game 89 — CCG 3 vs MHC 0
Game 94 — CCG 1 vs MHC 5
Game 186 — CCG 3 vs MHC 2 (SO)
Game 198 — CCG 0 vs MHC 5

Shots Per Game

Game 21 — CCG 38 vs MHC 38
Game 89 — CCG 27 vs MHC 34
Game 94 — CCG 29 vs MHC 42
Game 186 — CCG 38 vs MHC 26
Game 198 — CCG 23 vs MHC 28

Power Play Efficiency (Series)

Cochrane — 9.7% (3/31)
Medicine Hat — 26.1% (6/23)

9. Player‑Impact Summaries

  • Cochrane MVP: Coelho — scored in three different wins and drove offense in the shootout win.
  • Medicine Hat MVP: Osinski — key multi‑goal impact in the Nov 7 win and continued production in the Jan 18 result.
  • Breakout Player: Pidsadowski — multi‑goal opener plus additional scoring later in the series.
  • Goaltending Standout: Wright — strong overall series save rate, including a shutout on Jan 18.
  • Clutch Performer: Auger — shootout winner in Game 186.