Head to Head Analysis – Round 1

Round 1 Head to Head Series Reports

1. Narrative Series Summary

The 2025–26 season series between the Airdrie Thunder and Rocky Rams was defined by Airdrie’s offensive depth and ability to dictate pace. Airdrie controlled four of the five meetings, including a dominant 9–2 performance in Game 156. Rocky showed resilience — particularly in their 6–5 win in Game 199 — but struggled to contain Airdrie’s transition game and sustained pressure. Across the series, Airdrie’s scoring balance and shot volume consistently tilted the matchup in their favor.

2. Series Overview

  • Series Record: Airdrie 4–1–0
  • Total Goals: Airdrie 26 — Rocky 14
  • Total Shots: Airdrie 191 — Rocky 159
  • Average Score: AIR 5.2 — RMH 2.8
  • Special Teams: AIR 5/21 (23.8%), RMH 1/26 (3.8%)
  • Goaltending: Airdrie SV% .912 — Rocky SV% .863

3. Game‑by‑Game Results

Game Date Result Shots Power Play
30 Oct 2025 Airdrie 4 — Rocky 3 AIR 32 — RMH 41 AIR 1/4 — RMH 0/3
67 Nov 2025 Airdrie 4 — Rocky 1 AIR 30 — RMH 30 AIR 1/5 — RMH 0/4
156 Dec 2025 Airdrie 9 — Rocky 2 AIR 50 — RMH 26 AIR 2/6 — RMH 0/5
199 Jan 2026 Rocky 6 — Airdrie 5 AIR 45 — RMH 34 AIR 0/3 — RMH 1/4
217 Jan 2026 Airdrie 4 — Rocky 2 AIR 34 — RMH 28 AIR 1/3 — RMH 0/4

4. Statistical Summary

  • Total Goals: AIR 26 — RMH 14
  • Total Shots: AIR 191 — RMH 159
  • Average Shots/Game: AIR 38.2 — RMH 31.8
  • Goal Differential: +12 Airdrie
  • Shot Differential: +32 Airdrie
  • Special Teams Differential: +4 PP goals

5. Special Teams Comparison

  • Airdrie Power Play: 5/21 (23.8%)
  • Rocky Power Play: 1/26 (3.8%)
  • Airdrie Penalty Kill: 25/26 (96.2%)
  • Rocky Penalty Kill: 16/21 (76.2%)

6. Goaltending Comparison

  • Airdrie Goalies: 159 shots, 145 saves — .912 SV%
  • Rocky Goalies: 191 shots, 165 saves — .863 SV%
  • High‑Danger Trend: Airdrie allowed only 3 third‑period goals across 4 wins

7. Discipline & Penalties

  • Total Penalties: Airdrie 28 — Rocky 33
  • Major Penalties: Rocky 2 — Airdrie 1
  • Bench Minors: 1 combined
  • Trend: Most physical game was Game 199

8. Charts

Goals Per Game

Game 30 — AIR 4 vs RMH 3
Game 67 — AIR 4 vs RMH 1
Game 156 — AIR 9 vs RMH 2
Game 199 — RMH 6 vs AIR 5
Game 217 — AIR 4 vs RMH 2

Shots Per Game

Game 30 — AIR 32 vs RMH 41
Game 67 — AIR 30 vs RMH 30
Game 156 — AIR 50 vs RMH 26
Game 199 — AIR 45 vs RMH 34
Game 217 — AIR 34 vs RMH 28

Power Play Efficiency (Series)

Airdrie — 23.8% (5/21)
Rocky — 3.8% (1/26)

9. Player‑Impact Summaries

  • Airdrie MVP: Talerico‑Kucheran — 7 goals, 4 assists
  • Rocky MVP: Semeniuk — 4 goals, 3 assists
  • Breakout Player: Verloop — consistent multi‑point games
  • Goaltending Standout: Airdrie tandem — .912 SV% across 4 wins
  • Clutch Performer: Airdrie’s Richardson — key goals in Games 30 & 217